A Simple Procedure for Drought Prediction Over The "Water Year" For Agricultural and Hydrological Schedules in West Kenya"

  • Mutembei M. M. Ministry of Agriculture
  • W Kimenju J. University of Nairobi
  • Narla R.D University of Nairobi
Keywords: Agriculture

Abstract

A study was conducted to classify seasonality in western Kenya using rainfall data from Kibos, Kakamega and Busia.  On monthly basis, drought probabilities  ranged between 0.15 at Kibos and 0.13 at Kakamega during the rainy months.  March (0.83), October (0.8) and July (0.6) are prone to higher drought frequencies at Busia, Kibos and Kakamega relatively.  Lower frequencies are expected in September (0.3), April (0.52) and May (0.68) for the three stations respectively.  These frequencies are significant at 0.01 level.  Deficiecies are most severe at Busia throughout the year, except in late November. Kibos has a progressively increasing deficiency in June, mid to end of July and mid to end of September.
Published
2019-08-28
How to Cite
M. M., M., J., W. K., & R.D, N. (2019). A Simple Procedure for Drought Prediction Over The "Water Year" For Agricultural and Hydrological Schedules in West Kenya". East African Agricultural and Forestry Journal, 78(1&2), 7. Retrieved from https://www.kalro.org/www.eaafj.or.ke/index.php/path/article/view/380
Issue
Vol 78 No 1&2 (2012): East African Agricultural and Forestry Journal
Section
Articles

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